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Home.forex news reportMark Carney warns US-Canada economic relationship is ‘now over.’ How to survive...

Mark Carney warns US-Canada economic relationship is ‘now over.’ How to survive a ‘drastically different world’

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President Donald Trump greets Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney during a world leaders' summit on ending the Gaza war on October 13, 2025.
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The U.S. and Canada have long enjoyed an unusually close economic relationship, with integrated supply chains, aligned industries and decades of largely friction-free trade. But that era is ending, according to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.

“This decades-long process of an ever-closer economic relationship between the Canadian and U.S. economies is now over,” Carney said in Ottawa recently (1).

He cautioned that many of Canada’s former strengths — built on its tight ties with the U.S. — have now become vulnerabilities. In particular, President Donald Trump’s tariff policy is jeopardizing Canadian jobs that depend on exports to the U.S.

“The jobs of workers in our industries most affected by U.S. tariffs — autos, steel, lumber — are under threat,” Carney said, adding that uncertainty is causing Canadian businesses to hold back investments.

Simply put, the good old days are gone — and won’t return.

“Our relationship with the United States will never be the same as it was, even though, in the new protectionist world, we have the best trade deal of any country,” he added.

This isn’t the first time Carney has signaled a profound shift. Back in March, he warned that “the old relationship we had with the United States, based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military cooperation, is over,” and that Canada must “fundamentally reimagine” its economy for a “drastically different world (2).”

And Canada isn’t alone in absorbing the shock. The U.S. is the world’s largest consumer market for goods and services and many countries rely heavily on American demand. Broad-based tariffs could therefore have severe economic consequences far beyond North America.

Indeed, Carney has cautioned before that Trump’s sweeping tariffs “will rupture the global economy (3).”

However, this isn’t the first time the world has seen a geopolitical shock. The global economy has weathered upheaval before — recessions, trade wars, financial crises. And while no one can predict the exact landscape ahead, investors can still build out a path — especially by focusing on assets that can hold up when uncertainty runs high.



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