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Home.forex news reportWhy Did Robinhood Rally 220% In 2025? The Answer Isn't Speculation

Why Did Robinhood Rally 220% In 2025? The Answer Isn’t Speculation

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Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) has surged over 220% in 2025, partially due to prediction markets, which became the fastest-growing product in company history.

Robinhood reported Q3 revenue of $1.27 billion, up 100% year-over-year, with net income hitting $386 million, up 105%.

Full-year 2025 revenue is projected at $4.6-$4.7 billion, up 55% from 2024, with EPS estimates around $1.95-$2.07, up 79%.

At the activity level, equity trading volume hit a record $647 billion in Q3, up 126% year-over-year.

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Meanwhile, crypto trading volumes totaled $80 billion, split evenly between the Robinhood app and Bitstamp, which the company acquired this year.

The customer base expanded to roughly 27 million funded accounts holding over $300 billion in assets, with deposit growth running at 40%+ annually.

While strong earnings set the stage, prediction markets became the defining growth catalyst of 2025.

Launched in partnership with Kalshi in March 2024, event contracts became the company’s fastest-growing product line by far.

In the first year, Robinhood customers traded over 9 billion contracts across more than 1 million users, generating annualized revenues above $100 million.

That’s faster adoption than any product Robinhood has ever launched.

To deepen control over the ecosystem, Robinhood and Susquehanna International Group agreed in late November to acquire 90% of LedgerX, a regulated derivatives exchange previously owned by FTX.

The transaction sets the stage for a fully vertically integrated prediction markets platform, with a new exchange targeted to go live in 2026.

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Alongside prediction markets, crypto remained a major contributor to growth.

Crypto revenue in Q1 reached $252 million, doubled year-over-year, accounting for about 27% of transaction revenue.

In June, the company launched crypto-based “stock tokens” for EU customers, letting them trade over 200 U.S. equities and ETFs 24/5 on blockchain infrastructure.

This tokenization strategy positions Robinhood at the intersection of traditional finance and decentralized infrastructure.

Beyond that, Robinhood completed acquisitions of WonderFi and Bitstamp in 2025, giving it a stronger crypto-exchange footprint in Canada and Europe along with crucial regulatory licenses.

Institutional recognition followed operational execution as Robinhood joined the S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) on Sept. 22, replacing Caesars Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:CZR).

The inclusion pulled in billions of passive flows and signaled that Robinhood had graduated into large-cap legitimacy.

Analyst sentiment shifted sharply as several high-profile firms including Citizens, Mizuho, Barclays, and Cantor Fitzgerald issued targets between $155 and $180 following Q3 earnings.

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HOOD Price Action By TradingView

Robinhood Markets is consolidating near $120 after a sharp 2025 rally, with price compressing inside a tightening symmetrical triangle.

HOOD price is holding above the rising 100-day EMA near $119, keeping the broader uptrend intact despite recent volatility.

Short-term momentum remains capped below the 20 and 50-day EMAs, which are acting as immediate resistance around $123–$125.

A decisive break above the descending trendline could reopen upside toward the $135–$140 zone, while a failure risks a pullback toward the $113 Supertrend support.

Read Next: 7 Million Gamers Already Trust Gameflip With Their Digital Assets — Now You Can Own a Stake in the Platform

Image: Shutterstock

This article Why Did Robinhood Rally 220% In 2025? The Answer Isn’t Speculation originally appeared on Benzinga.com



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