The UK inflation data just dropped with a modest upside surprise, and while our pre-event watchlists identified potential GBP strength scenarios on pairs like GBP/CHF and GBP/AUD, the broader market environment is sending us wildly contradictory signals.
Gold is screaming “danger!” while the dollar shrugs and equities stumble – classic symptoms of a market that hasn’t decided what it wants to be when it grows up.
In these muddled conditions, the smartest play often isn’t picking a direction but rather identifying which technical levels and intermarket signals would need to align before a clearer probability edge emerges.
This alert breaks down what actually happened with UK inflation, why we’re pumping the brakes on the original watchlist pairs, and where EUR/GBP is setting up as our primary focus for when – not if – market conditions clarify.
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