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Home.forex news reportUnited States Antimony Corporation (UAMY): A Bull Case Theory

United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY): A Bull Case Theory

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We came across a bullish thesis on United States Antimony Corporation on r/stocks by ICameSawAbstained. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on UAMY. United States Antimony Corporation’s share was trading at $8.29 as of Janaury 16th. UAMY’s trailing and forward P/E were 33.93 and 30.67 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

USA Rare (USAR) Earth Falls 12.7% as Govt Picks Foreign Firm for New Deal
USA Rare (USAR) Earth Falls 12.7% as Govt Picks Foreign Firm for New Deal

United States Antimony Corporation produces and sells antimony, zeolite, and precious metals in the United States and Canada. UAMY is transitioning from a raw material buyer to a fully vertically integrated domestic producer, a strategic shift expected to dramatically expand profit margins from 20% to approximately 60%. The company’s 2026 revenue guidance has been raised to $125 million, reflecting the near-term impact of the Thompson Falls smelter expansion coming online this month, which will increase output fivefold.

This positions UAMY’s fundamental floor significantly higher than in prior years, creating a strong baseline for growth. Wall Street remains bullish, with a consensus “Strong Buy” rating and an average price target range of $9.86 to $17, implying 30% to 120% upside from current levels. The stock faces a 17.86% short interest, yet institutional accumulation suggests that retention of price levels in the $7–$8 range could trigger a gamma- or short-squeeze scenario, potentially pushing shares above $11. Technical indicators, such as an oversold Stoch RSI, support the likelihood of a relief rally in the near term.

UAMY benefits from a structurally constrained supply of Western Antimony, making it a strategically important domestic play. Its production is critical for defense applications, as U.S. regulations now require non-Chinese sourced antimony for defense use, providing a significant tailwind given that UAMY operates the only active smelter and refiner in the country. Overall, UAMY offers a compelling risk/reward setup, combining near-term technical catalysts, robust institutional backing, strong revenue and margin expansion prospects, and a unique geopolitical moat that reinforces long-term upside potential.

Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Natural Resource Partners L.P. (NRP) by InvestSpecial in April 2025, highlighting its disciplined deleveraging, high-quality coal royalties, and potential dividend initiation. NRP’s stock has appreciated by 18.60% since our coverage. ICameSawAbstained shares a contrarian thesis on United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY), emphasizing vertical integration, margin expansion, smelter growth, and strategic domestic antimony supply.



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