May soft red winter wheat (ZWK26) futures present a buying opportunity on fresh price strength.
See on the daily bar chart for May soft red winter wheat futures that prices have been trading choppy and sideways at lower levels for four weeks. It’s my bias that this price action is “basing” that will put in a market bottom and set off a price uptrend. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bullish posture as the blue MACD line is above the red trigger line and both lines are trending up.
Fundamentally, global geopolitical risks, the possibility of winterkill in parts of Asia and the U.S. amid the upcoming extreme cold weather, and the prospect of fund short covering are potentially bullish elements for the wheat futures markets.
A move in May SRW wheat futures above chart resistance at $5.33 would give the bulls some fresh power and it would also become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be $5.80 or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at the contract low of $5.13.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
