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Home.forex news reportAnalysts revamp Super Micro stock price target after earnings

Analysts revamp Super Micro stock price target after earnings

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Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI), or Supermicro, tumbled 8.6% on Feb. 5, erasing most of its post-earnings gains amid a broader market stumble.

A day earlier (Feb. 4), Super Micro stock surged 13% after the server maker reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, 2025.

Super Micro is a California-based server maker that also provides server management software and storage systems for enterprise data centers, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence.

The company posted adjusted earnings of 69 cents a share for its fiscal second quarter, topping analysts’ estimates of 49 cents. Revenue surged 123% year over year to $12.7 billion, well above expectations of $10.4 billion.

Guidance for the current quarter also topped expectations, with the company forecasting adjusted earnings of 60 cents a share and revenue of $12.3 billion, compared with Wall Street estimates of 46 cents and $11.3 billion.

Over the past 12 months, Super Micro stock has dropped 2%.Getty Images
Over the past 12 months, Super Micro stock has dropped 2%.Getty Images · Getty Images

However, Super Micro’s gross margin fell to 6.3% in the fiscal second quarter, down from 9.3% in the prior quarter and below management’s previous guidance of 6.5%. Gross margin is a key metric Wall Street watches for pricing power and valuation support.

This highlights a key challenge for Super Micro’s business, as the company is more of a price taker than a price setter. It is caught between paying high prices for chips from Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) and selling systems to large customers.

As a result, it has limited room to negotiate pricing and protect margins.

Related: Analysts revisit Nvidia-backed AI stock ahead of earnings

The company is seeing “near-term margin pressure” from “customer mix, tariffs, international facility expansion, and key components shortage,” CEO Charles Liang said on an earnings call.

Still, Super Micro offered some reassurance, with Liang pointing to new customer flows, stronger margins, and AI demand ahead.

“Our focus on enterprise business, design for manufacturing improvement, and the faster-growing DCBBS (Data Center Building Block Solutions) portfolio all help us gain new customers, support a higher growth, and a net margin going forward,” Liang said.

“Based on our broad customer backorder forecast and commitment, we believe demands for AI and IT infrastructure remain unprecedentedly strong,” Liang added.

Super Micro shares were on a roller coaster last year, plunging after its August and November 2025 earnings reports disappointed investors.

Once an artificial intelligence darling, the stock peaked near $118 in March 2024 and has since fallen to $30.85 as of Feb. 5’s close.

Related: Salesforce stock suffers brutal reality check

“The first time we can say there wasn’t a miss in more than one year,” KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel wrote in a research note, Barron’s reported.

“We think SMCI and other Server providers, should have strong demand,” he wrote. “That said, we need to see several quarters of both margins and revenue execution to get more comfortable with the stock.”

Though the stock’s performance has been disappointing, Super Micro remains a key player in the AI race, as major tech firms use its systems to build their AI infrastructure. Investors are now watching closely to see whether the stock can regain momentum.

Citi reiterated its neutral rating on Super Micro following earnings and maintained its $39 price target, citing strong demand but lingering risks to margins and high customer concentration.

“We note one customer accounted for 60%+ of their revenues,” Citi analysts wrote in a research note sent to TheStreet.

Related: Cathie Wood sends blunt 3-word message on stock outlook in 2026

This story was originally published by TheStreet on Feb 6, 2026, where it first appeared in the Investing section. Add TheStreet as a Preferred Source by clicking here.



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