Eric Bach, a former top employee at Lucid Group (NASDAQ: LCID), sold millions of dollars of Lucid stock in recent months. Previously, Bach served as senior vice president of product and chief engineer for the company.
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An early February report noted two recent stock sales by Bach. One transaction totaled $2.8 million, with another totaling nearly $1.2 million.
The most obvious reason for the sales would seem to be that Bach left the company last November. No longer an employee, Bach likely isn’t as keen on maintaining ownership. We don’t know why Bach sold shares, but there are reasons any shareholder might want to sell.
Lucid stock has fallen by roughly 40% since early November, when the company announced Bach’s departure. It’s no surprise why. Back then, I was arguing that Lucid stock was overvalued.
I think the company’s losses will likely force it to continue diluting shareholders. Since going public, Lucid has relied on share dilution to remain financially solvent. With no net profit expected in 2026, shareholders will likely continue to see their ownership stakes further diluted by additional stock sales.
Since its IPO, Lucid has increased its total shares outstanding by roughly 90%. Its stock price, meanwhile, has also slumped nearly 90% over that time period.
Share dilution is an acceptable compromise if a business is expected to reach profitability. But I would be surprised if Lucid achieves that goal. As competitors Tesla and Rivian have proven, getting an affordable car model to market is critical in gaining the mass scale necessary for positive net profits. I simply don’t see a viable path for it to get affordable models to market in 2026 or 2027.
Lucid is years behind the competition when it comes to launching a mass-market model. It even had trouble launching and scaling the sales of a low-volume luxury model last year.
Here’s the main issue for investors: Lucid has a market cap of $3.3 billion. Rivian, meanwhile, is valued above $15 billion, with Tesla’s market cap hovering well above $1 trillion. Lucid’s paltry valuation makes it difficult to sell enough stock to plug net losses without massively diluting shareholders.
In 2026, analysts expect Lucid to book heavy losses despite 80% expected sales growth. The company is still likely years away from profitability. So while the company’s revenue may continue to climb, Lucid simply doesn’t have the capital or stock price necessary to scale without heavy dilution — enough dilution to more than offset any gains for ordinary shareholders.
