Nvidia (NVDA) found support at the 200-day moving average, around $175 on Wednesday and that appears to be a key level moving forward.
Today we’re looking at a broken wing butterfly trade that creates a profit zone between $165 and $175 with income potential of around $75. Yesterday, the stock closed around $183.04.
A broken wing butterfly with puts is a butterfly spread with long put strikes that are not at the same distance from the short put strike.
A broken wing butterfly has more risk on one side of the spread than on the other.
You can also think of it as a butterfly with a “skipped strike”.
The trade is usually set up as a slightly bullish trade.
A broken wing butterfly with puts is usually created buying a put, selling two lower puts and buying one further out-of-the-money put.
An ideal setup of the trade is to create the broken wing butterfly for a net credit, in this way, there is no risk on the upside.
The main risk with the trade is a sharp move lower early in the trade.
On NVDA, an April 17 expiry broken wing butterfly could be set up through buying the $160 put, selling two of the $170 puts and buying the $175 put.
Here are the details of the trade as of yesterday’s close:
Buy 1 April 17, $160 put @ 3.60
Sell 2 April 17, $170 put @ 5.85
Buy 1 April 17, $175 put @ 7.35
Notice that the upper strike put is 5 points away from the middle put and the lower put is 10 points away.
This broken wing butterfly trade will result in a net credit of $75, which means that if NVDA stays above $175, the profit will be $75 or 17.6%.
On the downside, the maximum loss can be calculated by taking the difference between the two widths (5) multiplied by 100, minus the premium received.
That gives us 5 x 100 – 75 = $425.
The maximum gain can be calculated as 5 x 100 + 75 = $575
The ideal scenario for the trade is that NVDA stays above $175 for the next month. The main expiration profit zone is between $165 and $175.
The trade starts with delta of 4, so has a slight bullish bias to start, but that will flip to slightly negative delta closer to expiry if NVDA is still above $175.
In terms of risk management, I would set a stop loss of 20% of the capital at risk, or if NVDA broke below $165.


